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23 February 2017

The Ultimate Gamble

A few days ago, P-Town Tom of the Eamus Catuli! blog posted the results of an experiment with Topps Now code cards he purchased on eBay. These cards are inserted in packs of 2017 Topps Series 1, and each code offers a chance that you will win a Topps Now card from the 2017 season. To see how he did, click on through and have a read.


It sounded fun enough to me, so I looked at lots on eBay and found one that seemed like a pretty good deal, $8.66 shipped for 12 unused code cards. They arrived in the mail today, and I entered the codes into the Topps website.


I did pretty well with my codes, getting three winners out of my twelve tries. The 2017 Topps Now cards I won are 10, 130, and 146. I went back to the 2016 listing to see what I might have won if these were for last year.

If 2017 were 2016, I would have won:


10 - Brandon Crawford, San Francisco Giants – Brings Giants from Near No-Hitter to Walk-Off Win (Apr. 8) – Print Run 316


130 - Michael Fulmer, Detroit Tigers – Set Club Rookie Mark for Scoreless IP Streak (June 6) – Print Run 636


146 - Michael Fulmer, Detroit Tigers – Increases Scoreless IP Streak to 28 1/3 Innings with Strong Outing (June 12) – Print Run 658

Well, what are the odds of that? In the fictional world of yesteryear, I would have won two Michael Fulmer cards, along with one Brandon Crawford release. Hopefully my 2017 cards will match my player collections a little better. I've noticed that all of the redemptions I've seen so far come relatively early in the potential checklist, probably because Topps is reserving later numbers for Series 2 and maybe Update. I imagine that while Topps may not have a quota for Now cards, they probably have a general idea of which card number they expect to be at on a given date.

I might try to grab another lot or two of these over the course of the year, if I can get a good price on them. This lot turned out to be a pretty good deal, with me getting three Now cards for about the price of one.

8 comments:

  1. Very cool. The odds seem pretty good if you pick up a decent lot of these.

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    1. It does seem like you have a pretty good chance of winning if you get more than a handful of these.

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  2. Let me know if you'd like to trade once we see who our cards are of!

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    1. It'll be fun waiting to see what happens on the days when the checklist approaches our numbers.

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  3. At the very least you are getting some cool trade bait. You got a good deal!

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    1. Yeah, it worked out pretty well on this lot. It seems like the odds on these are pretty decent. I wonder if the prices will go up as people start seeing the results?

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  4. 25 % is not a bad hit ratio if you ask me.

    On another note, I need your address as I have some cards to send you from the 100 words contest I'm running. Can you send the address to rmitchell6700 at yahoo dot com when you have a moment? Thanks,

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    1. Yeah, I felt like if I could go 2 for 12, that would be pretty good. Getting 3 for 12 is even better!

      I just sent my address! Thank you!

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